{"id":763,"date":"2022-09-08T02:49:37","date_gmt":"2022-09-08T01:49:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/philocentar.com\/?p=763"},"modified":"2022-09-08T02:49:37","modified_gmt":"2022-09-08T01:49:37","slug":"%d0%b3%d0%be%d0%b4%d0%b8%d0%bd%d0%b0-2050","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/%d0%b3%d0%be%d0%b4%d0%b8%d0%bd%d0%b0-2050\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0413\u041e\u0414\u0418\u041d\u0410 2050."},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u0409\u0443\u0431\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0440 \u041a\u0459\u0430\u043a\u0438\u045b<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u0413\u041e\u0414\u0418\u041d\u0410 2050.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0410\u0443\u0442\u043e\u0440 \u0438\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0433\u0443\u045b\u0435 \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0458\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e \u0432\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u043d\u0435 \u0438\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0435 \u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0438 \u0442\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0452\u0430\u0458\u0430 \u0434\u043e \u043e\u043a\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0435 2050. \u0441\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u043b\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043c \u043d\u0430 \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0432\u0459\u0435\u0432\u0443 \u0442\u0435\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0443 \u0434\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0430\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0430, \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043f\u0442 \u0434\u0443\u0433\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0458\u043d\u0435 \u0434\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u0435 \u043c\u0443\u0437\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0424\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u0411\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430, \u0440\u0430\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0418\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0443\u0435\u043b\u0430 \u0412\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043d\u0430, \u043a\u0430\u043e \u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u0430\u0443\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430 (\u0418\u0441\u0430\u043a \u040a\u0443\u0442\u043d, \u0442\u0435\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430, \u043a\u043b\u0438\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0438 \u041f\u0435\u0442\u0430\u0440 \u0422\u0443\u0440\u0447\u0438\u043d&#8230;), \u043a\u043e\u0458\u0438 \u0441\u0443 \u0441\u0432\u0438 \u0441\u0430\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u0438 \u0434\u0430 \u045b\u0435 \u0441\u0435 \u043e\u043a\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0435 2050 (+ &#8211; 10) \u0443\u0441\u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0435\u043a\u0432\u0438\u043b\u0438\u0431\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0443\u043c \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0441\u043a\u0438 \u043d\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0433 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430. \u0422\u043e\u043a \u0434\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0452\u0430\u0458\u0430 \u0432\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u0443 \u0442\u043e\u043c \u043f\u0440\u0430\u0432\u0446\u0443 \u043e\u0434 \u043f\u043e\u0447\u0435\u0442\u043a\u0430 \u0441\u0435\u0434\u0430\u043c\u0434\u0435\u0441\u0435\u0442\u0438\u0445 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430 20. \u0432\u0435\u043a\u0430 \u043a\u0430\u0434\u0430 \u0458\u0435, \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 600 \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430, \u043d\u0435\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0440\u0430\u0442\u043d\u043e \u043f\u043e\u043a\u0440\u0435\u043d\u0443\u0442 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0441\u043a\u0435 \u0434\u0435\u043c\u0438\u0441\u0438\u0458\u0435 \u0437\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0447\u0435\u043d\u043e\u0433 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433 (\u043a\u0430\u043f\u0438\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043a\u043e\u0433) \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430, \u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0446\u0435\u0441 \u0442\u0435\u043a\u0442\u043e\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0435 \u0431\u0438\u0444\u0443\u0440\u043a\u0430\u0446\u0438\u043e\u043d\u0435 \u043a\u0440\u0438\u0437\u0435 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0430 \u0438 \u043a\u0430\u0434\u0430 \u0458\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043b\u043e \u0458\u0430\u0441\u043d\u043e \u0434\u0430 \u0443\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0430\u0440 \u043a\u043e\u043e\u0440\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u0442\u0430 \u0442\u043e\u0433 \u0438\u0437\u0443\u043c\u0438\u0440\u0443\u045b\u0435\u0433 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430 \u0432\u0438\u0448\u0435 \u043d\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0458\u0438 \u043d\u0438 \u0440\u0435\u0448\u0435\u045a\u0435 \u043d\u0438 \u0438\u0437\u043b\u0430\u0437 \u0437\u0430 \u0447\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0447\u0430\u043d\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e. \u0421\u0445\u043e\u0434\u043d\u043e \u0442\u043e\u043c\u0435, \u043d\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u0430 \u0442\u0440\u0438 \u201e\u0441\u043f\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0430\u201c \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0435, \u0432\u0435\u0440\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0430\u043b\u043d\u043e \u0438 \u0445\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0437\u043e\u043d\u0442\u0430\u043b\u043d\u043e, \u0432\u0435\u045b \u043f\u043e\u043b\u0430 \u0441\u0442\u043e\u043b\u0435\u045b\u0430 \u0432\u043e\u0434\u0438 \u0441\u0435 \u0440\u0430\u0442 \u0437\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0435 2050. \u0425\u043e\u045b\u0435 \u043b\u0438 \u0442\u0430\u0458 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442 \u0431\u0438\u0442\u0438 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u0438, \u0458\u043e\u0448 \u0433\u043e\u0440\u0438 \u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0431\u043e\u0459\u0438, \u0443 \u043d\u0430\u0458\u0434\u043e\u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u043d\u0438\u0458\u0435\u043c \u0441\u043c\u0438\u0441\u043b\u0443 \u0440\u0435\u0447\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0438\u0441\u0438 \u043e\u0434 \u043e\u043d\u043e\u0433\u0430 \u0448\u0442\u043e \u0441\u0443 \u0441\u0432\u0438 \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0435\u0440\u0438 \u043d\u0430 \u0432\u0435\u043b\u0438\u043a\u043e\u0458 \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0438 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u0430 \u0432\u0435\u045b \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0443\u0437\u0435\u043b\u0438, \u0448\u0442\u043e \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0443\u0437\u0438\u043c\u0430\u0458\u0443 \u0438 \u0448\u0442\u043e \u045b\u0435 \u0442\u0435\u043a \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0443\u0437\u0435\u0442\u0438. \u0418\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434 \u045b\u0435 \u043f\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0458\u0430\u0441\u0430\u043d \u043e\u043a\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0435 2050.<\/p>\n<hr style=\"width: 50%;\" \/>\n<p>Ljubomir Kljaki\u0107<\/p>\n<p><strong>Year 2050<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong>The author interprets the possible and equally probable outcomes of the dynamics and historical trends until about 2050, relying on Kondratieff&#8217;s long wave theory, Fernand Braudel\u2019s conception of long two part music, Immanuel Wallerstein\u2019s writings as well as on works of other authors (Isaac Newton, world system theory, cliodynamics and Peter Turchin &#8230;), who all agree that about 2050 (+- 10) the balance of the historically new world system will be established. The historical trends have been going in that direction from the beginning of 1970 when, after 600 years, irreversibly has started the process of historical demise of the existing world (capitalistic) system, that is, the process of tectonic splitting disturbance of the world, when it became clear that inside the framework of that dying system did not exist any longer either the solution or way out for the mankind. Therefore, there has been waging war for the world after 2050 for half a century on all three \u2018levels\u2019 of history, both vertically and horizontally. If that world will\u00a0 be the same, still worse or better, in the most literal sense of the word depends on things which all the actors on the big stage of world affairs have done, are doing and what they will do in the years to come. The outcome will become clear about 2050.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0409\u0443\u0431\u043e\u043c\u0438\u0440 \u041a\u0459\u0430\u043a\u0438\u045b \u0413\u041e\u0414\u0418\u041d\u0410 2050. \u0410\u0443\u0442\u043e\u0440 \u0438\u043d\u0442\u0435\u0440\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0430 \u043c\u043e\u0433\u0443\u045b\u0435 \u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0434\u0458\u0435\u0434\u043d\u0430\u043a\u043e \u0432\u0435\u0440\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u043d\u0435 \u0438\u0441\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0435 \u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0438 \u0442\u043e\u043a\u0430 \u0438\u0441\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0434\u043e\u0433\u0430\u0452\u0430\u0458\u0430 \u0434\u043e \u043e\u043a\u043e \u0433\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0435 2050. \u0441\u0430 \u043e\u0441\u043b\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043c \u043d\u0430 \u041a\u043e\u043d\u0434\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0435\u0432\u0459\u0435\u0432\u0443 \u0442\u0435\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0443 \u0434\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u0442\u0430\u043b\u0430\u0441\u0430, \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0446\u0435\u043f\u0442 \u0434\u0443\u0433\u043e\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0458\u043d\u0435 \u0434\u0432\u043e\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u0435 \u043c\u0443\u0437\u0438\u043a\u0435 \u0424\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0430\u043d\u0430 \u0411\u0440\u043e\u0434\u0435\u043b\u0430, \u0440\u0430\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0418\u043c\u0430\u043d\u0443\u0435\u043b\u0430 \u0412\u043e\u043b\u0435\u0440\u0441\u0442\u0438\u043d\u0430, \u043a\u0430\u043e \u0438 \u0440\u0430\u0434\u043e\u0432\u0435 \u0434\u0440\u0443\u0433\u0438\u0445 \u0430\u0443\u0442\u043e\u0440\u0430 (\u0418\u0441\u0430\u043a \u040a\u0443\u0442\u043d, \u0442\u0435\u043e\u0440\u0438\u0458\u0430 \u0441\u0432\u0435\u0442\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0433 \u0441\u0438\u0441\u0442\u0435\u043c\u0430, \u043a\u043b\u0438\u043e\u0434\u0438\u043d\u0430\u043c\u0438\u043a\u0430 \u0438 \u041f\u0435\u0442\u0430\u0440 \u0422\u0443\u0440\u0447\u0438\u043d&#8230;), \u043a\u043e\u0458\u0438 \u0441\u0443 \u0441\u0432\u0438 \u0441\u0430\u0433\u043b\u0430\u0441\u043d\u0438 \u0434\u0430 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-763","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-konferencija-2022"],"publishpress_future_action":{"enabled":false,"date":"2026-08-10 22:47:36","action":"change-status","newStatus":"draft","terms":[],"taxonomy":"category","extraData":[]},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=763"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":764,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/763\/revisions\/764"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=763"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=763"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/humanology-journal.com\/philocentar\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=763"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}